Forward-looking, equitable, and systemic earthquake risk modeling
Urban populations continue to grow in many regions, new structures are being built on previously undeveloped land, the density of urban settlements is amplifying, and multiple infrastructure systems are being expanded or further interconnected to meet ever-increasing demands. Against this backdrop, climate change is exacerbating the occurrence of certain hazards, increasing the likelihood of destructive earthquakes coinciding with or triggering other types of catastrophes, resulting in compounding and cascading impacts. These changes fundamentally alter the exposure and vulnerability of people, their built environment, and the risks that their livelihoods could be impacted by earthquakes. Meanwhile, marginalized socioeconomic and demographic groups continue to suffer the most during disasters, even though economic loss estimates might suggest otherwise. While these problems are understood qualitatively, their consideration in earthquake risk modeling remains a rarity.
These challenges point to an urgent need for a paradigm shift in how we approach earthquake risk modeling, which this special collection will address. The range of topics to be covered includes methods for time-dependent earthquake risk assessment, network-level earthquake risk modeling, multi-hazard (or cumulative) risk analysis, and the development of equitable risk metrics.
Guest Editors:
Dr. Gemma Cremen, Lecturer in Risk and Resilience Engineering, UCL, UK
Prof. Carmine Galasso, Professor of Catastrophe Risk Engineering, UCL, UK
Dr. Vitor Silva, Head of Risk Engineering, Global Earthquake Model Foundation, Italy
Submission Details:
Deadline for submissions: December 15, 2024