Toward a seismic-resilient society: Evaluating earthquake risks in Kashmir
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In regions like Kashmir, seismic hazards are not a distant possibility but an ever-present threat. The tectonic forces at work along the Indian-Eurasian plate boundary ensure that earthquakes of magnitude 7 or higher are inevitable. The question is not if but when the next major quake will strike.
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Building a seismic-resilient society starts with a proactive approach by administrators and policymakers. Here are the key steps that need immediate attention:
- Seismic Hazard Mapping and Ranking
A comprehensive seismic hazard evaluation program must be initiated to map and rank regions based on their vulnerability. This involves identifying active fault zones, assessing ground-shaking potential, and understanding soil-structure interactions. Such a program will provide a scientific foundation for decision-making and resource allocation. - Seismic Risk Assessment of Infrastructure
Existing buildings, bridges, roads, and other critical infrastructure must be evaluated for seismic resilience. Structures should be scored on an evaluation scheme to determine their ability to withstand earthquakes. This will help prioritize retrofitting efforts for the most vulnerable assets.
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The Kashmir region is home to millions of people whose lives, livelihoods, and cultural heritage are threatened by seismic hazards. The current level of preparedness is inadequate to face the challenge of a major earthquake. A well-coordinated effort, led by the administration in partnership with the scientific community, is essential. Investments in seismic hazard mapping, infrastructure assessments, and public education are not just expenses but vital steps toward safeguarding the region’s future.
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