Climate risk and adaptation country profile: Ecuador
The profile synthesizes most relevant data and information for Disaster Risk Reduction and Adaptation to Climate Change and is designed as a quick reference source for development practitioners to better integrate climate resilience in development planning and operations.
Climate change summary for Ecuador:
- According to the majority of IPCC GCM scenarios, mean annual precipitation and temperature are both expected to increase by 3% and 2o C to 3o C, respectively, in the period 2030-2049 as compared to 1980- 1999 . This represents substantially higher temperature increases than the global average. On the other hand, a high resolution model (20 km) projects a decrease in mean annual precipitation by the end of the century.
- December-February (DJF) and March-May (MAM) precipitation levels are also likely to increase by 3% and 5%, while temperatures in December-February (DJF) are likely to increase by 1o C in 2030-2049.
- For the June-August (JJA) period, precipitation levels are likely to decrease by 3% and temperatures to increase by 1o C in 2030-2049.
- Increases are projected for the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events on the northern coast of Peru and Ecuador in the period of 2071-2100.