Climate risk country profile: Uzbekistan

This profile is intended to serve as public goods to facilitate upstream country diagnostics, policy dialogue, and strategic planning by providing comprehensive overviews of trends and projected changes in key climate parameters, sector-specific implications, relevant policies and programs, adaptation priorities and opportunities for further actions. The Republic of Uzbekistan is a landlocked country situated in the heart of Central Asia. The adaptation priorities identified in Uzbekistan’s Third National Communication (NC3) to the UNFCCC (2016) include support to the understanding of climate change impacts across key sectors such as agriculture, the economy, water resource management, population health, disaster risk reduction, and energy.

This profile features a number of key messages on the climate risks faced by Uzbekistan, including: 

• Average temperatures are projected to rise by 4.8°C in Uzbekistan by the 2090s, above the 1986–2005 baseline under the highest emissions pathway (RCP8.5). This pace of warming significantly exceeds the projected global average.
• Increases in average temperatures pose a threat to public health in Uzbekistan via heat stress and diseases such as acute intestinal infections, bacterial dysentery and an increased risk of a resurgence of malaria.
• Without support to adapt and reduce disaster risks, climate change impacts are likely to be unequal, affecting Uzbekistan’s poor and marginalized communities most.