Europe: dry spell length affecting drought potential

This map illustrates that climate change, affecting the length of dry spells, will probably moderately increase precipitation deficit in some areas with very high drought hazard, such as the Iberian peninsula and some parts of Greece. Precipitation deficit, here assumed as drought indication, will also slightly increase in south and south-eastern Europe, other areas with drought potential. Meanwhile other areas in eastern and central Europe might face a low increase, some areas in central and northern Europe and the Baltic region might see no impact or even a decrease of drought potential.

The reader must take into account that the presented maps are based on climate model data and thus show scenarios and not predictions or forecasts.