GEOGLAM Crop monitor for early warning report: December 2023

The GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning (CM4EW) is an international and transparent multi-source, consensus assessment of the crop growing conditions, status, and agro-climatic conditions that are likely to impact global production. The Crop Monitor for Early Warning reports on climate hazards, such as drought, flood, and extreme weather, as well as pests and crop diseases, as part of its monitoring of countries at risk of famine and to provide early warnings of impending crop shortfalls. The CM4EW report is published online each month. This issue covers conditions in November 2023.

This publication found the following: 

• In East Africa, harvesting conditions are mostly poor for main season cereals in the north, and conditions are mixed for planting of second season cereals in the south as above-average rains, which are forecast to continue into early 2024, have resulted in severe flooding.
• In West Africa, harvesting of main season cereals is wrapping up, and overall conditions remain favourable due to beneficial weather outcomes throughout the season and despite localized flood impacts. Only conflict and socio-economic affected regions are expected to see yield declines.
• In the Middle East and North Africa, wheat planting continues with rainfall deficits impacting parts of western North Africa.
• In Southern Africa, wheat harvesting is mostly complete under favourable conditions.