Horn of Africa: drought risk
This map illustrates the Horn of Africa's risk of drought.
Based on exposure measured as a function of the density of agricultural production per square kilometer, the risks associated with drought are greatest in southwestern Ethiopia and western Kenya. In both areas, droughts in the rainy seasons are likely (>40% chance in any given year) and the exposure to drought is high (>30% agricultural land usage). Drought conditions are also likely in eastern Ethiopia, but relatively sparse agricultural land usage there translates into low risk. Relatively limited agricultural land usage in Eritrea, Djibouti, and Somalia, despite moderate drought probability, limits the risk associated with drought in those countries.
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