Impact of a changing climate, land use, and water usage on Europe’s water resources: a model simulation study
This report describes an assessment of the projected future impacts of climate change, land use change and changes in water consumption on water resources for the European continent, as obtained using JRC’s LISFLOOD water resources model. For this study, two 30-year climate windows were investigated and compared to the 1981-2010 control climate window.
This report concludes that meeting the objectives of the Paris Climate Agreement of 2015 will lead to substantially less severe impacts for the water resources in Europe as compared to the impacts of climate change beyond 2 degrees global temperature increase. Issues with flooding and especially summer water scarcity are projected to increase.