Management of weather and climate risk in the energy industry

NATO science for peace and security series C - environmental security:

This book addresses how weather forecasts and climate information - from seasonal to inter-annual predictions as well as climate change scenarios - assist in energy sector decision-making processes, including natural risks management as well as weather/climate risk management.

Following an introductory section covering the production of weather and climate information (forecasts, re-analyses, and so on), and a second one dealing with policies for transferring information between the weather and climate sector and the energy industry, the book delves into multi-faceted applications within the energy industry, from the oil/gas sector to the renewable energy through to demand forecasting, thus providing an encompassing state-of-the-art picture of the interactions between weather, climate and energy.

The book includes the the proceedings and recommendations of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Weather/Climate Risk Management for the Energy Sector, Santa Maria di Leuca, Italy, 6-10 October 2008.

It contains:

Part 1. Weather & climate fundamentals for the energy sector

- Weather, climate, and the energy industry
- Weather and climate predictions for the energy sector
- Multi-scale projections of weather and climate at the UK met office
- Meteorology, climate and energy

Part 2. Policies for information transfer between weather/climate and energy sectors

- Use of indicators to improve communication on energy systems vulnerability, resilience and adaptation to climate change
- Climate services for development in Africa with a potential focus on energy
- Weather/climate services in Europe and central Asia: a key tool for energy sector adaptation to climate change
- Climate risk management for the energy sector in Africa: the role of the African Development Bank
- Data headaches
- communicating information for energy and development
- Requirements of oil and gas operations for climate data, information, products and services in the high latitudes
- IPCC scoping paper on renewable energy sources and climate change mitigation

Part 3. Energy sector practices, need, impediments including current weather/climate information transfer to the energy sector

- Practices, needs and impediments in the use of weather/climate information in the electricity sector
- Large-scale variability of weather dependent renewable energy sources
- Modelling and forecasting energy demand: principles and difficulties
- Can we trust long-range weather forecasts?
- Storm prediction research and its application to the oil/gas industry
- Weather sensitivity of electricity supply and data services of the German Met office
- Water management of a thermal power plant – a site specific approach concerning climate change
- Mathematical programming basis for decision making using weather and climate information for the energy sector
- Trends in snow deposition on overhead electric lines: using synoptic data to investigate the relationship black-out risk/climate change
- Natural risks management in the gas transmission system (GTS) of Russia and the contribution of climate services under global climate change
- Weather/climate risk management for the energy sector: workshop recommendations