Projected sea level rise for Washington state: A 2018 assessment
This report develops an updated assessment of projected sea level change for coastal Washington state and its relationship to coastal hazards such as flooding and erosion. Washington State has two previous assessments of sea level rise; one published in 2012 by the National Academies of Science (NRC, 2012), and another in 2008 (Mote et al., 2008).
The updated set of sea level rise projections incorporates the latest science, provides community-scale projections, and is designed for direct application to risk management and planning. Subsequent reports will describe new findings related to storm surge, waves, and efforts to integrate sea level rise in coastal planning and management.
These projections improve on previous estimates by:
- Incorporating new science about the processes contributing to global sea level rise, including new understanding of the dynamics of melt for the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets,
- Accounting for community-scale differences in vertical land movement along Washington’s coastlines, and
- Estimating the probabilities that various amounts of sea level rise will occur for a given greenhouse gas scenario.
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