State of the Science on Atlantic hurricanes and climate change
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has a fact sheet on the “State of the Science on Atlantic Hurricanes and Climate Change”. Several Atlantic hurricane activity metrics show pronounced increases since 1980. However, evidence for any significant trends is much weaker considering trends beginning from the early 20th century, partly due to observed data limitations.
This sheet addresses three important and societally relevant questions about Atlantic hurricane activity and climate:
- Has there been a change in the number of Atlantic hurricanes?
- Has human-caused climate change had any detectable influence on hurricanes and their impacts?
- What changes do we expect going forward with continued global warming?