Points of no return: Estimating governments' fiscal resilience to internal displacement

This paper, part of IDMC's thematic series "The ripple effect: Economic impacts of internal displacement", estimates the fiscal gap that governments of countries affected by internal displacement may face because of future displacement crises. In 2018, IDMC partnered with the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) to produce the first assessments of the economic impacts of internal displacement. The methodology used for this new paper build upon IIASA's previous work on Catastrophe Simulation modelling and on IDMC's estimates of the economic impacts of internal displacement and model displacement risk in the context of sudden-onset disasters and Disaster Displacement Risk Model.

One of the main objectives of this research is to inform budget and development plans by anticipating contingent liabilities associated with internal displacement.