Scenario-based risk analytics for managing cascading disasters- A pathway to manage risks and protect people in South Asia

Our challenging times call for a reformulation and paradigm shift from a single hazard, single sector perspective to a multihazard, multi-sectoral and systemic risk perspective. To achieve this, building multiple and complex risk scenarios that take the converging biological and natural hazard risks will be a priority. This study is a step in this direction.

Through the integration of data from multiple sources, this study extends the riskscape of the region and examines the cascading risks that are arising and will arise in the future from the impacts of natural and biological hazards. Specifically, the study provides a methodology for building an integrated scenario assessment for strategic management and policy development in South Asia. 

The Asia Pacific Disaster Resilience Network (APDRN), in particular, has been established by ESCAP to support integrated multihazard early warning systems and close data gaps therein (Figure 21) and can be strengthened further. As a network of networks, the APDRN serves to mobilize expertise and resources to establish multihazard early warning systems.