The battle for water - Assessing the Nile's flow a tricky task for Egypt

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It is crucial for the Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation (MWRI) in Cairo to be able to predict the amount of water flowing in the Nile in the next decades, reports Alertnet. A project led by the Danish Hydrological Institute (DHI), Met Office Hadley Centre and MWRI aims to research how climate change would affect water resources in the region.

The global climate change model created by the Met Office was down-scaled to create PRECIS, a regional climate model. The results of the precipitation and temperature simulations were fed to the Nile Forecast System, the operational model used at MWRI for planning and assessing future changes in the runoff. The results suggest that a small increase in the river runoff for the 2050s appears to be more likely than a decline. The Nile Basin Initiative, the follow-up project involves all the riparian countries.

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