Summary report: 1st workshop on the use of ensemble prediction system in flood forecasting
Fluvial floods are a common natural hazard in Europe. Only in the 90ies, large floods have affected the Meuse and Rhine, the Oder and the Po rivers. Following the devastating floods in the Elbe and Danube river basins in 2002, the European Commission launched a project on the development of a European Flood Alert System (EFAS). This document analyzes the proceedings of a workshop organized by the EFAS team in November 2005 to explore together with flood forecasting experts from the Member States the usefulness of EPS information implemented in EFAS for operational flood forecasting and decision making, and the perception of uncertainty in flood forecasting.