Flood risk in Europe in a changing climate
The aim of the PESETA project is to assess the impacts of climate change in Europe on a policy-relevant time horizon (2020, 2030) using consistent methods (climate scenarios) for six sectors (agriculture, river floods, coastal floods, energy demand, health and tourism) across Europe, in view of the costs and benefits of EU policies on climate change. This document outlines an integrated methodology for the assessment of current and future flood risk at the European scale. Changes in flood hazard obtained by combining high resolution regional climate scenarios with a hydrological model are transformed into direct monetary damage assessments using water depth-damage functions and land-use information.
Results of the methodology are presented for the Upper Danube and Meuse catchments.