Extreme environmental events
Understanding the frequency and magnitude of extreme environmental events and their impacts is a critical aspect of climate prediction. This conference aims to bring together an inter-disciplinary group including statisticians, climate modellers, meteorologists, and other environmental scientists to focus on extreme events and the uncertainties inherent in their understanding.
The conference will feature lectures by invited high-level speakers, short talks by young and early stage researchers, poster sessions and open discussion periods as well as a forward look panel discussion about future developments.
Theme 1: Extreme events and statistical methodology
- How do statisticians define an event?
- What makes it an extreme event?
- What statistical methods are used in extreme event identification?
- What is the difference between long-term mean changes and extremes of a distribution?
- What is the current state of the art in extremes methodology?
- What common mistakes are made in dealing with extreme events?
Theme 2: Modelling of extreme environmental events
- How do climate models deal with extreme events?
- How might extreme events be better incorporated into extreme events?
- What do models of extreme events currently predict?
- How are these predictions validated?
- What research/experiments are required to improve predictions?
- What past extremes do we know about?
Theme 3: Impacts of extreme events
- What are the potential impacts of extreme events on ecosystems, plants, forests, animals and micro-organisms?
- How might extreme events affect the migrations of animals?
- How do ecosystems cope with mean extremes versus extremes of distribution?