Behavioural risks from climate change: a satellite meeting

The complexity of emerging behavioural risks from climate change - A Satellite Meeting of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2010 Conference

Theme of the meeting

A wide variety of climate change behaviour can be found across the spectrum of science, industry and everyday life. Behavioural implications are wide-ranging, including energy (load forecasting, service restoration), civil protection (hurricane and winter storm warnings; flood protection), disaster threat analysis, surface transportation (traffic), shipping (routing), health issues (pollution, mosquito control), environment (Kyoto protocol), wildfire management and insurance. Extreme events relate to climate change can cause major losses. The size, complexity, and risks associated with such losses will differ depending on, for example, the nature of communities’ behaviour towards such events.

The issue of risk in organisations arises in many activities. It may emanate from an inevitably incomplete understanding of infrequent climate change events; to failure in recognising what fragilities might exist in organisations that may lead to substantial impact from seemingly innocuous organisational engagements; or to failure in identifying how to protect organisational processes through robust process architectures.

Too often, the task of risk managers and modellers has been centred on simplifying risk analysis to facilitate organisational response in a structured and hierarchical manner that fails to appreciate how risk impacts on organisations via the emergent and unforeseen connections that are difficult to predict, but not impossible to guard against given enough time to respond. This difficulty is compounded by changes in the risk environment.

For example, climate change, extreme events such as global warming, global market volatility and the prospect of terrorist attacks have introduced enormous external pressures on the day-to-day operations of public and private services and greatly increased their exposure to risk. As a consequence, decision makers are challenged to consider a wider variety of risk drivers in every decision to assess exposure to risk and to identify risk emergent events. The task is becoming complex and almost impossible.

The purpose of the meeting is to debate and communicate advances in understanding risk, and aid business and organisations to better manage their risk exposure under climate change scenarios. The meeting is designed to offer a knowledge-dissemination and discussion forum for those responsible for organisational risk management, and research and development in complexity theory and tools.

Call for Papers

The meeting organisers seek to attract previously unpublished papers, relevant to the theme of the meeting, as part of our ongoing research into THE COMPLEXITY OF EMERGING BEHAVIOURAL RISKS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE, we would like to bring together scholars who are interested in this timeless topic to present their work with the aim to publish an edited reference book as a guide for further research into this imperative research area.

Topic Areas

The meeting organisers seek to attract outstanding academic and industrial contributors. Topic areas include, but are not limited to:
- Complexity theory for risk management of climate change
- Understanding the complexity of climate change risk management
- Complexity theory tools for understanding emerging climate change risks in engineered systems, natural systems and social systems
- Emerging risks from local communities behaviour under climate change scenarios
- The complexity of disaster risk management
- The complexity of vulnerability assessments
- Emerging risks from socio-economic impact of climate change
- Emerging risks from climate change to finance and insurance industry
- Emerging risks from climate change to property resilience
- Emerging risks consumers’ behaviour to climate change
- Risks evolvement due to climate change
- Emerging risks to health from climate change

Programm

September 13, 14 and 17, 2010 - ECCS’10 Main Conference
-- Main Conference Tracks:
- Track A: Policy, Planning & Infrastructure
Policymaking; Design Processes; Environmental Decision Making; Management; Construction and Manufacturing; Energy and Sustainability; Urban Planning; Built Environment; Internet; Transport & Power Networks; Medical & Health Systems.
- Track B: Collective Human Behaviour and Society
Philosophy of Science; Economics & Finance; Sociology; Psychology; Game theory.
- Track C: Interacting Populations and Environment
Climate Change; Geography; Pollution; Demography; Ecology; Epidemiology.
- Track D: Complexity and Computer Science
Natural and Pervasive Computing; Global Computing Infrastructure; Swarms and Robot Teams; Mobile and Fleet Computing; Graphs and Neural Networks; Language and Cognition; Collaborative Human Computer Networks.
- Track E: From Molecules to Living Systems
Self-assembly & Self-organisation; Biochemistry, Cell Biology, Neuroscience; Systems Biology; Medicine & Physiology.
- Track F: Mathematics and Simulation
Mathematics; Theoretical Physics; Modelling; Theory of Simulation (both numerical mathematics and agent based); Network Theory.

September 15, 2010 - ECCS Satellite Meeting “the complexity of emerging behavioural risks from climate change”
- Emergence, Path dependence and Transitions in Geographical Space
- High Throughput Humanities
- Modelling the non-separability of a very complex world
- SCNET 2010 - Science of Complex Networks
- The Complexity of Emerging Behavioural Risks from Climate Change
- Young Researchers Session at ECCS'10
- COSI-ICT: science of COmplex Systems for socially Intelligent ICT

September 16, ECCS Satellite Meeting “the complexity of emerging behavioural risks from climate change”
- Dynamics on and of Complex Networks IV
- Artistic and Scientific Research: meeting points and bridging lines
- EPNACS 2010 - Emergent Properties in Natural and Artificial Complex Systems
- Graphical models for reasoning on biological systems: computational challenges
- Policy making in complex adaptive systems
-SCIVE’10 - Social Complexity of Informal Value Exchange