Assessing climate change risks in fragile and conflict-affected situations - Insights and recommendations from a global analysis

The aim of the paper is to address the major development challenges faced by low- and middle-income geographies affected by fragility, conflict, and violence (FCV), which hinder efforts to alleviate extreme poverty and promote equity. At least two-thirds of the global extreme poor will be living in fragile and conflict-affected situations (FCS) by 2030.

Recognizing the interconnectedness of climate change, fragility, and conflict in FCS is vital for formulating comprehensive strategies that address the root causes of fragility and foster sustainable, climate-resilient development. The impacts of climate variability and change interact with and exacerbate vulnerabilities and existing tensions, leading to heightened risks and instability