Risk identification and assessment

A qualitative or quantitative approach to determine the nature and extent of disaster risk by analysing potential hazards and evaluating existing conditions of exposure and vulnerability that together could harm people, property, services, livelihoods and the environment on which they depend. Performing risk, hazard and vulnerability assessments is a key disaster risk management activity.

This theme covers aspects related to hazard/vulnerability/climate risk assessment, disaster risk modelling and analysis.

Latest Risk identification and assessment additions in the Knowledge Base

Cover and source: Natural Hazards (Springer)
Documents and publications

This study develops a machine learning-based wildfire susceptibility model for Germany, using data between 2003 and 2023, to identify the dominant wildfire predictors and create monthly susceptibility maps.

Natural Hazards (Springer)
Research briefs

Secondary gravity waves emerge as the hidden architects of global-scale thermospheric upheaval following the Tonga eruption in 2022.

Eos - AGU
People cooling their feet in water in the city.
Research briefs

Extreme heat is putting people in Australia at serious risk of heart problems and premature deaths, according to new research. As the climate warms, rising temperatures could more than double Australia's burden of cardiovascular diseases by 2050.

Mongabay
A reservoir's lakebed in South Africa is exposed due to drought
Update

A severe and prolonged drought continues to grip much of Africa, with far-reaching consequences for the environment, economies, and societies across the continent.

European Commission Joint Research Centre
Update

By integrating science, policy, and community action, Nepal can build resilience against landslide disasters and ensure safer living conditions for its people.

The Rising Nepal
Cover
Documents and publications

In 2024, climate-driven disasters surged, with extreme heat and floods causing most deaths and damage. Asia and Africa were hardest hit, highlighting the urgent need for climate action and risk management reform. Total damages exceeded $240 billion.

Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED)
Cover
Documents and publications

This study maps flood risk in Larkana, Pakistan using AHP and GIS. Rainfall, river proximity, slope, and elevation are key risk factors. Results support disaster planning by identifying high-risk zones and integrating climate impact in flood management.

Nature Scientific Reports
Cover
Documents and publications

The HKH Snow Update 2025 highlights a significant decline in seasonal snow across the Hindu Kush Himalaya region, with snow persistence 23.6% below normal — the lowest in 23 years.

International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD)
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