Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2015
Making development sustainable: The future of disaster risk management


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Thirdly, if disaster risk is driven into previously unknown orders of magnitude and into new domains, the ability to manage known risks will be only one pillar of effective risk management. Instead, the general agility required to manage risks as they emerge by anticipating, adapting and continuously transforming may be more important—particularly where it builds general as opposed to specific resilience (GAR 13 paperPelling, 2014

GAR13 Reference Pelling, Mark (ed.). 2014,Pathways for Transformation: Disaster risk management to enhance development goals, Background Paper prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction. Geneva, Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.
; GAR 13 paperCavallo and Ireland, 2014

GAR13 Reference Cavallo, Antonella and Vernon Ireland. 2014,Preparing for Complex Independent Risks: A System of Systems Approach to Building Disaster Resilience, Input Paper prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction. Geneva, Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.
; Ray-Bennet et al., 2014). This implies that managing disaster risks should be seen as part of a broader approach to managing risks of all kinds.
The concept of social progress is useful as it incorporates many of the characteristics that
will be required to manage risks effectively: basic human needs, foundations of well-being, and opportunity.5
As such, countries that score highly on the Social Progress Index are likely to have greater capacity to manage and reduce their disaster risks. This is important because it implies that sound disaster risk management is not only a prerogative of high-income countries, but rather of all countries that have achieved a certain level of social progress. For example, while Mauritius and Iraq exhibit very similar levels of disaster risk, Mauritius has attained a far higher level of social progress and is therefore better positioned to manage its risks (Figure 13.4).
Figure 13.4 Social progress and average annual loss
(Source: UNISDR with data from Global Risk Assessment and the Social Progress Index.)
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