GAR 2015 Main Report

(Source: CIMNE-INGENIAR, 2014.)

Box 3.2 Strong wind and storm surge risk in Belize City

In the context of an assessment supported by the Inter-American Development Bank, tropical cyclone (hurricane) AAL in Belize City was estimated at US$37 million (ERN-AL, 2010

ERN America Latina (Evaluación de Riesgos Naturales - América Latina). 2010,Belize, Central America Probabilistic Risk Assessment. Task IV: Hazard, Risk Maps and Risk Management Applications. Technical Report, Subtask 4.2b - Disaster Risk Assessment for Belize City.. .

). Through the collection of detailed information on building classes, topography and bathymetry, it was possible to identify the areas at risk from both hurricane winds and storm surges.

In the case of storm surge (left-hand map) only low-elevation areas located within a certain distance from the shore are at risk, whereas wind hazard is distributed throughout the city (right-hand map). These results formed the basis for an emergency response plan devised by the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO). In addition, training activities have been implemented with many institutions to evaluate the hazards and risk with a probabilistic approach.

The risks were evaluated on the basis of the current level of hazard as well as future scenarios of climate change.

Tropical cyclone risk from storm surge (AAL by building)

Tropical cyclone risk from strong wind (AAL by building)

	69 (Source: CIMNE-INGENIAR, 2014.) Box 3.2 Strong wind and storm surge risk in Belize City In the context of an assessment supported by the Inter-American Development Bank, tropical cyclone (hurricane) AAL in Belize City was estimated at US$37 million (ERN-AL, 2010 x ERN America Latina (Evaluación de Riesgos Naturales - América Latina). 2010,Belize, Central America Probabilistic Risk Assessment. Task IV: Hazard, Risk Maps and Risk Management Applications. Technical Report, Subtask 4.2b - Disaster Risk Assessment for Belize City.. . ). Through the collection of detailed information on building classes, topography and bathymetry, it was possible to identify the areas at risk from both hurricane winds and storm surges. In the case of storm surge (left-hand map) only low-elevation areas located within a certain distance from the shore are at risk, whereas wind hazard is distributed throughout the city (right-hand map). These results formed the basis for an emergency response plan devised by the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO). In addition, training activities have been implemented with many institutions to evaluate the hazards and risk with a probabilistic approach. The risks were evaluated on the basis of the current level of hazard as well as future scenarios of climate change. Tropical cyclone risk from storm surge (AAL by building) Tropical cyclone risk from strong wind (AAL by building)	Page 1 Page 10 Page 20 Page 30 Page 40 Page 50 Page 59 Page 60 Page 61 Page 62 Page 63 Page 64 Page 65 Page 66 Page 67 Page 68 Page 69 Page 70 ->Page 71 Page 72 Page 73 Page 74 Page 75 Page 76 Page 77 Page 78 Page 79 Page 80 Page 81 Page 82 Page 83 Page 90 Page 100 Page 110 Page 120 Page 130 Page 140 Page 150 Page 160 Page 170 Page 180 Page 190 Page 200 Page 210 Page 220 Page 230 Page 240 Page 250 Page 260 Page 270 Page 280 Page 290 Page 300 Page 310